Correlation Between Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timothy Plan Conservative and Moderate Strategy Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timothy Plan with a short position of Moderate Strategy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy.

Diversification Opportunities for Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Timothy and Moderate is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timothy Plan Conservative and Moderate Strategy Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Moderate Strategy and Timothy Plan is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timothy Plan Conservative are associated (or correlated) with Moderate Strategy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Moderate Strategy has no effect on the direction of Timothy Plan i.e., Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy

Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Plan Conservative is expected to generate 1.17 times more return on investment than Moderate Strategy. However, Timothy Plan is 1.17 times more volatile than Moderate Strategy Fund. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Moderate Strategy Fund is currently generating about 0.26 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,023  in Timothy Plan Conservative on April 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  60.00  from holding Timothy Plan Conservative or generate 5.87% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Timothy Plan Conservative  vs.  Moderate Strategy Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Timothy Plan Conservative 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Plan Conservative are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Timothy Plan is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Moderate Strategy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Moderate Strategy Fund are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Moderate Strategy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timothy Plan and Moderate Strategy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timothy Plan position performs unexpectedly, Moderate Strategy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Moderate Strategy will offset losses from the drop in Moderate Strategy's long position.
The idea behind Timothy Plan Conservative and Moderate Strategy Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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