Correlation Between TFI International and XPO Logistics

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both TFI International and XPO Logistics at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining TFI International and XPO Logistics into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between TFI International and XPO Logistics, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on TFI International and XPO Logistics and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in TFI International with a short position of XPO Logistics. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of TFI International and XPO Logistics.

Diversification Opportunities for TFI International and XPO Logistics

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between TFI and XPO is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TFI International and XPO Logistics in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on XPO Logistics and TFI International is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on TFI International are associated (or correlated) with XPO Logistics. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of XPO Logistics has no effect on the direction of TFI International i.e., TFI International and XPO Logistics go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between TFI International and XPO Logistics

Given the investment horizon of 90 days TFI International is expected to under-perform the XPO Logistics. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, TFI International is 1.29 times less risky than XPO Logistics. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The XPO Logistics is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,330  in XPO Logistics on January 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,801  from holding XPO Logistics or generate 234.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

TFI International  vs.  XPO Logistics

 Performance 
       Timeline  
TFI International 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days TFI International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.
XPO Logistics 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days XPO Logistics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

TFI International and XPO Logistics Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with TFI International and XPO Logistics

The main advantage of trading using opposite TFI International and XPO Logistics positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if TFI International position performs unexpectedly, XPO Logistics can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in XPO Logistics will offset losses from the drop in XPO Logistics' long position.
The idea behind TFI International and XPO Logistics pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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