Correlation Between SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR SP 500 and ProShares UltraPro MidCap400, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR SP with a short position of ProShares UltraPro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro

0.95

Correlation Coefficient

SPDR SP  ProShares UltraPro

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and ProShares is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR SP 500 and ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraPro and SPDR SP is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraPro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraPro has no effect on the direction of SPDR SP i.e., SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro

Considering the 90-day investment horizon SPDR SP is expected to generate 2.44 times less return on investment than ProShares UltraPro. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, SPDR SP 500 is 3.83 times less risky than ProShares UltraPro. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,953  in ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 on May 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  477.00  from holding ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 or generate 24.42% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	96.77%
Values	Daily Returns

SPDR SP 500  vs.  ProShares UltraPro MidCap400

SPDR SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR SP 500 are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, SPDR SP may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.

ProShares UltraPro

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental indicators, ProShares UltraPro exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR SP and ProShares UltraPro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR SP position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraPro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraPro will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraPro's long position.

The idea behind SPDR SP 500 and ProShares UltraPro MidCap400 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.