Correlation Between Us Government and Basic Materials

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Us Government and Basic Materials at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Us Government and Basic Materials into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Us Government Securities and Basic Materials Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Us Government and Basic Materials and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Us Government with a short position of Basic Materials. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Us Government and Basic Materials.

Diversification Opportunities for Us Government and Basic Materials

0.02
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between RGVAX and Basic is 0.02. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Us Government Securities and Basic Materials Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Basic Materials and Us Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Us Government Securities are associated (or correlated) with Basic Materials. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Basic Materials has no effect on the direction of Us Government i.e., Us Government and Basic Materials go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Us Government and Basic Materials

Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Government Securities is expected to under-perform the Basic Materials. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Us Government Securities is 4.33 times less risky than Basic Materials. The mutual fund trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Basic Materials Fund is currently generating about 0.23 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,856  in Basic Materials Fund on April 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,355  from holding Basic Materials Fund or generate 23.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Us Government Securities  vs.  Basic Materials Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Us Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Us Government Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Basic Materials 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Basic Materials Fund are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Basic Materials showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Us Government and Basic Materials Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Us Government and Basic Materials

The main advantage of trading using opposite Us Government and Basic Materials positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Us Government position performs unexpectedly, Basic Materials can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Basic Materials will offset losses from the drop in Basic Materials' long position.
The idea behind Us Government Securities and Basic Materials Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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