Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra QQQ and SPDR SP Emerging, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of SPDR SP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and SPDR is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra QQQ and SPDR SP Emerging in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR SP Emerging and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra QQQ are associated (or correlated) with SPDR SP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR SP Emerging has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra QQQ is expected to generate 2.76 times more return on investment than SPDR SP. However, ProShares Ultra is 2.76 times more volatile than SPDR SP Emerging. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR SP Emerging is currently generating about 0.26 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,558  in ProShares Ultra QQQ on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,684  from holding ProShares Ultra QQQ or generate 43.05% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra QQQ  vs.  SPDR SP Emerging

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra QQQ 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra QQQ are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating essential indicators, ProShares Ultra exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
SPDR SP Emerging 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR SP Emerging are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, SPDR SP may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and SPDR SP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, SPDR SP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR SP will offset losses from the drop in SPDR SP's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra QQQ and SPDR SP Emerging pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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