Correlation Between Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Frontier Markets Portfolio and Emerging Markets Equity, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Frontier Markets with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Frontier and Emerging is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Frontier Markets Portfolio and Emerging Markets Equity in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Equity and Frontier Markets is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Frontier Markets Portfolio are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Equity has no effect on the direction of Frontier Markets i.e., Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Frontier Markets Portfolio is expected to generate 0.73 times more return on investment than Emerging Markets. However, Frontier Markets Portfolio is 1.37 times less risky than Emerging Markets. It trades about 0.41 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Equity is currently generating about 0.18 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,503  in Frontier Markets Portfolio on May 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  209.00  from holding Frontier Markets Portfolio or generate 13.91% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Frontier Markets Portfolio  vs.  Emerging Markets Equity

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Frontier Markets Por 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Frontier Markets Portfolio are ranked lower than 32 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Frontier Markets showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Emerging Markets Equity 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Equity are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Emerging Markets may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.

Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Frontier Markets and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Frontier Markets position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.
The idea behind Frontier Markets Portfolio and Emerging Markets Equity pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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