Correlation Between Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merchants Bancorp with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty

0.06
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merchants and First is 0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and Merchants Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merchants Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Merchants Bancorp i.e., Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty

Assuming the 90 days horizon Merchants Bancorp is expected to generate 2.92 times less return on investment than First Guaranty. In addition to that, Merchants Bancorp is 1.13 times more volatile than First Guaranty Bancshares. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,888  in First Guaranty Bancshares on May 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  42.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 2.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merchants Bancorp  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Merchants Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, First Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merchants Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Merchants Bancorp and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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