Correlation Between Small-cap Value and Northern Small

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small-cap Value and Northern Small at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small-cap Value and Northern Small into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Value Series and Northern Small Cap, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small-cap Value and Northern Small and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small-cap Value with a short position of Northern Small. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small-cap Value and Northern Small.

Diversification Opportunities for Small-cap Value and Northern Small

0.7

Correlation Coefficient

Small-cap Value  Northern Small

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small-cap and Northern is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Value Series and Northern Small Cap in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northern Small Cap and Small-cap Value is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Value Series are associated (or correlated) with Northern Small. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northern Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Small-cap Value i.e., Small-cap Value and Northern Small go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small-cap Value and Northern Small

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small-cap Value is expected to generate 1.09 times less return on investment than Northern Small. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Small Cap Value Series is 1.06 times less risky than Northern Small. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Northern Small Cap is currently generating about 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,218  in Northern Small Cap on May 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  162.00  from holding Northern Small Cap or generate 13.3% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Small Cap Value Series  vs.  Northern Small Cap

Small Cap Value

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Value Series are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Small-cap Value may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.

Northern Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Small Cap are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Northern Small showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Small-cap Value and Northern Small

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small-cap Value and Northern Small positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small-cap Value position performs unexpectedly, Northern Small can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Small will offset losses from the drop in Northern Small's long position.

The idea behind Small Cap Value Series and Northern Small Cap pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.