Correlation Between First Trust and SPDR SP

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Trust and SPDR SP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Trust and SPDR SP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Trust Consumer and SPDR SP Retail, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Trust and SPDR SP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Trust with a short position of SPDR SP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Trust and SPDR SP.

Diversification Opportunities for First Trust and SPDR SP

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and SPDR is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Trust Consumer and SPDR SP Retail in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR SP Retail and First Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Trust Consumer are associated (or correlated) with SPDR SP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR SP Retail has no effect on the direction of First Trust i.e., First Trust and SPDR SP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Trust and SPDR SP

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.06 times less return on investment than SPDR SP. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Trust Consumer is 1.21 times less risky than SPDR SP. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR SP Retail is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,039  in SPDR SP Retail on May 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  900.00  from holding SPDR SP Retail or generate 12.79% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy98.39%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Trust Consumer  vs.  SPDR SP Retail

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Trust Consumer 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Consumer are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile basic indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.
SPDR SP Retail 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR SP Retail are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, SPDR SP unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Trust and SPDR SP Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Trust and SPDR SP

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Trust and SPDR SP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Trust position performs unexpectedly, SPDR SP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR SP will offset losses from the drop in SPDR SP's long position.
The idea behind First Trust Consumer and SPDR SP Retail pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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