Correlation Between First Bancorp and First Mid

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Bancorp and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Bancorp and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Bancorp and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Bancorp and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Bancorp with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Bancorp and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for First Bancorp and First Mid

0.88

Correlation Coefficient

First Bancorp  First Mid

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Bancorp and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and First Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of First Bancorp i.e., First Bancorp and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Bancorp and First Mid

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Mid. In addition to that, First Bancorp is 1.78 times more volatile than First Mid Illinois. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Mid Illinois is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,901  in First Mid Illinois on May 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (155.00) from holding First Mid Illinois or give up 3.97% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Bancorp  vs.  First Mid Illinois

First Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound essential indicators, First Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

First Mid Illinois

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Pair Trading with First Bancorp and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Bancorp and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.

The idea behind First Bancorp and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.