Correlation Between First Guaranty and Mid Penn

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and Mid Penn at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and Mid Penn into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and Mid Penn Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and Mid Penn and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of Mid Penn. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and Mid Penn.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and Mid Penn

0.18

Correlation Coefficient

First Guaranty  Mid Penn

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Mid is 0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and Mid Penn Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mid Penn Bancorp and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Mid Penn. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mid Penn Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and Mid Penn go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and Mid Penn

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to generate 0.42 times more return on investment than Mid Penn. However, First Guaranty Bancshares is 2.37 times less risky than Mid Penn. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Mid Penn Bancorp is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,901  in First Guaranty Bancshares on May 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  44.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 2.31% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  Mid Penn Bancorp

First Guaranty Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, First Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Mid Penn Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Mid Penn Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Mid Penn is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and Mid Penn

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and Mid Penn positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Mid Penn can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mid Penn will offset losses from the drop in Mid Penn's long position.

The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and Mid Penn Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.