Correlation Between ESSA Bancorp and First Mid

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ESSA Bancorp and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ESSA Bancorp and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ESSA Bancorp and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ESSA Bancorp and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ESSA Bancorp with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ESSA Bancorp and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for ESSA Bancorp and First Mid

0.98

Correlation Coefficient

ESSA Bancorp  First Mid

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between ESSA and First is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ESSA Bancorp and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and ESSA Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ESSA Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of ESSA Bancorp i.e., ESSA Bancorp and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ESSA Bancorp and First Mid

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ESSA Bancorp is expected to under-perform the First Mid. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ESSA Bancorp is 1.05 times less risky than First Mid. The stock trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Mid Illinois is currently generating about -0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,680  in First Mid Illinois on January 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (448.00) from holding First Mid Illinois or give up 12.17% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ESSA Bancorp  vs.  First Mid Illinois

ESSA Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ESSA Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

First Mid Illinois

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Mid Illinois has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders.

Pair Trading with ESSA Bancorp and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite ESSA Bancorp and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ESSA Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.

The idea behind ESSA Bancorp and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.