Correlation Between Intermediate Government and Us Government

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate Government and Us Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate Government and Us Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Government Bond and Us Government Securities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate Government and Us Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate Government with a short position of Us Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate Government and Us Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate Government and Us Government

0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate and USGFX is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Government Bond and Us Government Securities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Us Government Securities and Intermediate Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Government Bond are associated (or correlated) with Us Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Us Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Intermediate Government i.e., Intermediate Government and Us Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate Government and Us Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Government is expected to generate 1.86 times less return on investment than Us Government. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Intermediate Government Bond is 2.97 times less risky than Us Government. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Us Government Securities is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,160  in Us Government Securities on January 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  32.00  from holding Us Government Securities or generate 2.76% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Government Bond  vs.  Us Government Securities

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Government Bond are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Intermediate Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Us Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Us Government Securities are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate Government and Us Government Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate Government and Us Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate Government and Us Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate Government position performs unexpectedly, Us Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Us Government will offset losses from the drop in Us Government's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Government Bond and Us Government Securities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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