Correlation Between Deere and Caterpillar

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Deere and Caterpillar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Deere and Caterpillar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Deere Company and Caterpillar, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Deere and Caterpillar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Deere with a short position of Caterpillar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Deere and Caterpillar.

Diversification Opportunities for Deere and Caterpillar

0.42

Correlation Coefficient

Deere  Caterpillar

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Deere and Caterpillar is 0.42. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Deere Company and Caterpillar in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Caterpillar and Deere is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Deere Company are associated (or correlated) with Caterpillar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Caterpillar has no effect on the direction of Deere i.e., Deere and Caterpillar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Deere and Caterpillar

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Deere is expected to generate 3.57 times less return on investment than Caterpillar. In addition to that, Deere is 1.13 times more volatile than Caterpillar. It trades about 0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Caterpillar is currently generating about 0.38 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  31,912  in Caterpillar on May 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11,458  from holding Caterpillar or generate 35.9% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Deere Company  vs.  Caterpillar

Deere Company

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Deere Company are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Deere may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.

Caterpillar

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caterpillar are ranked lower than 30 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unsteady basic indicators, Caterpillar unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Deere and Caterpillar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Deere and Caterpillar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Deere position performs unexpectedly, Caterpillar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Caterpillar will offset losses from the drop in Caterpillar's long position.

The idea behind Deere Company and Caterpillar pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.