Correlation Between Cosan SA and Refinaria

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cosan SA and Refinaria at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cosan SA and Refinaria into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cosan SA ADR and Refinaria de Petrleos, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cosan SA and Refinaria and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cosan SA with a short position of Refinaria. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cosan SA and Refinaria.

Diversification Opportunities for Cosan SA and Refinaria

-0.13

Correlation Coefficient

Cosan SA  Refinaria

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cosan and Refinaria is -0.13. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cosan SA ADR and Refinaria de Petrleos in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Refinaria de Petrleos and Cosan SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cosan SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Refinaria. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Refinaria de Petrleos has no effect on the direction of Cosan SA i.e., Cosan SA and Refinaria go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cosan SA and Refinaria

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosan SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Refinaria. In addition to that, Cosan SA is 1.71 times more volatile than Refinaria de Petrleos. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Refinaria de Petrleos is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  283.00  in Refinaria de Petrleos on May 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Refinaria de Petrleos or generate 3.18% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	98.41%
Values	Daily Returns

Cosan SA ADR  vs.  Refinaria de Petrleos

Cosan SA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Cosan SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in August 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Refinaria de Petrleos

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Refinaria de Petrleos are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Refinaria is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Pair Trading with Cosan SA and Refinaria

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cosan SA and Refinaria positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cosan SA position performs unexpectedly, Refinaria can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Refinaria will offset losses from the drop in Refinaria's long position.

The idea behind Cosan SA ADR and Refinaria de Petrleos pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.