Correlation Between CF Industries and Origin Materials

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both CF Industries and Origin Materials at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining CF Industries and Origin Materials into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between CF Industries Holdings and Origin Materials, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on CF Industries and Origin Materials and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in CF Industries with a short position of Origin Materials. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of CF Industries and Origin Materials.

Diversification Opportunities for CF Industries and Origin Materials

-0.44

Correlation Coefficient

CF Industries  Origin Materials

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between CF Industries and Origin is -0.44. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding CF Industries Holdings and Origin Materials in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Origin Materials and CF Industries is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on CF Industries Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Origin Materials. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Origin Materials has no effect on the direction of CF Industries i.e., CF Industries and Origin Materials go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between CF Industries and Origin Materials

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon CF Industries is expected to generate 1.39 times less return on investment than Origin Materials. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, CF Industries Holdings is 3.78 times less risky than Origin Materials. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Origin Materials is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  66.00  in Origin Materials on May 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding Origin Materials or generate 3.03% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

CF Industries Holdings  vs.  Origin Materials

CF Industries Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CF Industries Holdings are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, CF Industries reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Origin Materials

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Origin Materials are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, Origin Materials displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with CF Industries and Origin Materials

The main advantage of trading using opposite CF Industries and Origin Materials positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if CF Industries position performs unexpectedly, Origin Materials can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Origin Materials will offset losses from the drop in Origin Materials' long position.

The idea behind CF Industries Holdings and Origin Materials pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.