Correlation Between Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bitcoin and Vanguard Small Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bitcoin with a short position of Vanguard Small-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap

0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bitcoin and Vanguard is 0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bitcoin and Vanguard Small Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Small Cap and Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bitcoin are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Small-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Bitcoin i.e., Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bitcoin is expected to generate 1.77 times more return on investment than Vanguard Small-cap. However, Bitcoin is 1.77 times more volatile than Vanguard Small Cap Index. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Small Cap Index is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  9,683,587  in Bitcoin on May 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,639,413  from holding Bitcoin or generate 16.93% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bitcoin  vs.  Vanguard Small Cap Index

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bitcoin 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bitcoin are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental indicators, Bitcoin exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.

Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bitcoin and Vanguard Small-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Small-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Small-cap will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Small-cap's long position.
The idea behind Bitcoin and Vanguard Small Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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