Correlation Between Business First and Commerce Bancshares

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Business First and Commerce Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Business First and Commerce Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Business First Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Business First and Commerce Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Business First with a short position of Commerce Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Business First and Commerce Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Business First and Commerce Bancshares

0.96

Correlation Coefficient

Business First  Commerce Bancshares

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Business and Commerce is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Business First Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commerce Bancshares and Business First is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Business First Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Commerce Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commerce Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Business First i.e., Business First and Commerce Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Business First and Commerce Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Business First Bancshares is expected to under-perform the Commerce Bancshares. In addition to that, Business First is 1.3 times more volatile than Commerce Bancshares. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  5,903  in Commerce Bancshares on February 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  226.00  from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 3.83% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Business First Bancshares  vs.  Commerce Bancshares

Business First Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Business First Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Commerce Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Commerce Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Pair Trading with Business First and Commerce Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Business First and Commerce Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Business First position performs unexpectedly, Commerce Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commerce Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Commerce Bancshares' long position.

The idea behind Business First Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.