Correlation Between Auburn National and First Guaranty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Auburn National and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Auburn National and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Auburn National Bancorporation and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Auburn National and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Auburn National with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Auburn National and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Auburn National and First Guaranty

-0.41

Correlation Coefficient

Auburn National  First Guaranty

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Auburn and First is -0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Auburn National Bancorp. and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and Auburn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Auburn National Bancorporation are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Auburn National i.e., Auburn National and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Auburn National and First Guaranty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auburn National Bancorporation is expected to generate 1.15 times more return on investment than First Guaranty. However, Auburn National is 1.15 times more volatile than First Guaranty Bancshares. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,949  in Auburn National Bancorporation on May 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  592.00  from holding Auburn National Bancorporation or generate 30.37% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	95.16%
Values	Daily Returns

Auburn National Bancorp.  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

Auburn National Banc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Auburn National Bancorporation are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent fundamental drivers, Auburn National displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Guaranty Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders.

Pair Trading with Auburn National and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Auburn National and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Auburn National position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.

The idea behind Auburn National Bancorporation and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.