Correlation Between ARPA and PAY

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ARPA and PAY at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ARPA and PAY into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ARPA and PAY, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ARPA and PAY and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ARPA with a short position of PAY. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ARPA and PAY.

Diversification Opportunities for ARPA and PAY

-0.41

Correlation Coefficient

ARPA  PAY

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ARPA and PAY is -0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ARPA and PAY in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PAY and ARPA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ARPA are associated (or correlated) with PAY. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PAY has no effect on the direction of ARPA i.e., ARPA and PAY go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ARPA and PAY

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARPA is expected to under-perform the PAY. But the crypto coin apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ARPA is 2.1 times less risky than PAY. The crypto coin trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The PAY is currently generating about 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  0.31  in PAY on May 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.51  from holding PAY or generate 165.53% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ARPA  vs.  PAY

ARPA

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

Over the last 90 days ARPA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in September 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for ARPA shareholders.

PAY

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PAY are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, PAY exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with ARPA and PAY

The main advantage of trading using opposite ARPA and PAY positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ARPA position performs unexpectedly, PAY can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PAY will offset losses from the drop in PAY's long position.

The idea behind ARPA and PAY pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.