Correlation Between American Eagle and Guess

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Eagle and Guess at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Eagle and Guess into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Eagle Outfitters and Guess Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Eagle and Guess and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Eagle with a short position of Guess. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Eagle and Guess.

Diversification Opportunities for American Eagle and Guess

0.47

Correlation Coefficient

American Eagle  Guess

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and Guess is 0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Eagle Outfitters and Guess Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Guess Inc and American Eagle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Eagle Outfitters are associated (or correlated) with Guess. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Guess Inc has no effect on the direction of American Eagle i.e., American Eagle and Guess go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Eagle and Guess

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Eagle Outfitters is expected to generate 1.07 times more return on investment than Guess. However, American Eagle is 1.07 times more volatile than Guess Inc. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Guess Inc is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,995  in American Eagle Outfitters on August 7, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (81.00) from holding American Eagle Outfitters or give up 4.06% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

American Eagle Outfitters  vs.  Guess Inc

American Eagle Outfitters

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days American Eagle Outfitters has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, American Eagle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Guess Inc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Guess Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Pair Trading with American Eagle and Guess

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Eagle and Guess positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, Guess can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Guess will offset losses from the drop in Guess' long position.

The idea behind American Eagle Outfitters and Guess Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.