Correlation Between Arch Capital and Direct Line

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Arch Capital and Direct Line at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Arch Capital and Direct Line into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Arch Capital Group and Direct Line Insurance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Arch Capital and Direct Line and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Arch Capital with a short position of Direct Line. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Arch Capital and Direct Line.

Diversification Opportunities for Arch Capital and Direct Line

0.52

Correlation Coefficient

Arch Capital  Direct Line

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Arch and Direct is 0.52. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Arch Capital Group and Direct Line Insurance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direct Line Insurance and Arch Capital is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Arch Capital Group are associated (or correlated) with Direct Line. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direct Line Insurance has no effect on the direction of Arch Capital i.e., Arch Capital and Direct Line go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Arch Capital and Direct Line

Assuming the 90 days horizon Arch Capital is expected to generate 9.79 times less return on investment than Direct Line. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Arch Capital Group is 5.08 times less risky than Direct Line. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direct Line Insurance is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,500  in Direct Line Insurance on May 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  300.00  from holding Direct Line Insurance or generate 20.0% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	91.94%
Values	Daily Returns

Arch Capital Group  vs.  Direct Line Insurance

Arch Capital Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Arch Capital Group are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Arch Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Direct Line Insurance

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direct Line Insurance are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile basic indicators, Direct Line showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Arch Capital and Direct Line

The main advantage of trading using opposite Arch Capital and Direct Line positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Arch Capital position performs unexpectedly, Direct Line can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direct Line will offset losses from the drop in Direct Line's long position.

The idea behind Arch Capital Group and Direct Line Insurance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.