Timken Company Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TKR Stock | USD 74.75 0.11 0.15% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Timken Company is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Timken Company within the specified time frame.
Check out Timken Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Timken and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Timken Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
Timken |
Execute Timken Buy or Sell Advice
The Timken recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Timken Company. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Timken Company or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Timken's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Timken Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Timken Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Timken Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Timken Company Shares Purchased by TT International Asset Management LTD - MarketBeat |
Timken Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Timken's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Timken's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Timken daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Timken Company price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Timken returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Timken.
| Mean Return | -0.06 | Value At Risk | -2.13 | Potential Upside | 2.80 | Standard Deviation | 2.39 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Timken historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Timken Stock Institutional Investors
The Timken's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Timken's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Fiduciary Management, Inc. Of Milwaukee | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2024-09-30 | 875.1 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 846.5 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 753.1 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 753 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 695.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 666.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 650 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.7 M |
Timken Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 50.7M | 27.4M | (215.8M) | (145.6M) | 72M | 75.6M | |
| Change In Cash | 83.1M | 104.9M | (63.2M) | 82.8M | 78.6M | 82.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 409.5M | 456M | 239M | 285.4M | 357.4M | 375.3M | |
| Depreciation | 160.6M | 167.1M | 167.8M | 164M | 201.3M | 175.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (31.3M) | 20M | (16M) | 26.7M | 42.2M | 44.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 140.6M | 121.6M | 148.3M | 178.4M | 187.8M | 187.5M | |
| Net Income | 374.7M | 292.4M | 381.5M | 417M | 394.1M | 413.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 216.2M | 321.1M | 257.9M | 340.7M | 419.3M | 440.3M | |
| Investments | (4.2M) | (9.4M) | (18M) | (573.3M) | (930.4M) | (883.9M) | |
| Change Receivables | 11.5M | (20.7M) | (55.8M) | (73.5M) | (66.2M) | (62.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 662.8M | (199.3M) | (85.8M) | 506.3M | 582.2M | 611.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | (24.4M) | (13M) | 1.5M | 51.5M | 59.2M | 62.2M |
Timken Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Timken or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Timken's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Timken stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Timken Volatility Alert
Timken Company exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.47 and kurtosis of 14.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Timken's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Timken's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Timken Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Timken's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Timken's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Timken and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Timken or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Timken's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Timken by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Timken to competition |
| Fundamentals | Timken | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0559 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.23 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 70.12 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.56 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.19 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.32 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.80 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.77 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.28 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 657.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 394.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 331.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.5 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.86 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.03 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 41.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 545.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.81 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.82 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.94 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 88.64 | |
| Number Of Employees | 19 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.29 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.54 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.23 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.16 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 15000 shares by Richard Kyle of Timken at 92.41 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Timken Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Timken . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9282.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.08) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 75.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 75.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.46) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) |
About Timken Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Timken Company? Buying financial instruments such as Timken Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Timken in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Aggressive Funds
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis
When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.