Qualys Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

QLYS Stock  USD 155.08  4.15  2.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Qualys Inc is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Qualys Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Qualys. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Qualys Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Qualys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Qualys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Qualys Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Qualys Buy or Sell Advice

The Qualys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Qualys Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Qualys Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Qualys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell QualysBuy Qualys
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Qualys Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0707, Jensen Alpha of (0.22), Total Risk Alpha of (0.48), Sortino Ratio of 0.0469 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0933
Macroaxis provides advice on Qualys Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Qualys Inc. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Qualys is not overpriced, please check all Qualys Inc fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, current ratio, working capital, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Qualys Inc has a price to earning of 46.56 X, we recommend you to check out Qualys Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Qualys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Qualys Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Qualys Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Qualys Price Target Raised to 155.00

Qualys Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Qualys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Qualys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Qualys daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Qualys Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Qualys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Qualys.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-2.94
Potential Upside
2.91
Standard Deviation
3.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Qualys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Qualys Stock Institutional Investors

The Qualys' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Qualys' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
687 K
American Capital Management Inc2024-06-30
686.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
550.3 K
Fundsmith Llp2024-06-30
548 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
526.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-06-30
474.1 K
Cdam (uk) Ltd2024-06-30
464.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
458.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
439.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
5.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
3.9 M
Note, although Qualys' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Qualys Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.5M)(5.3M)2.8M(6.3M)(5.7M)(5.4M)
Change In Cash46.5M(13.4M)63.2M37.9M31.4M33.0M
Free Cash Flow133.0M150.0M175.0M174.9M235.8M247.6M
Depreciation31.2M32.8M35.9M34.6M27.0M20.9M
Other Non Cash Items(1.1M)1.4M4.9M1.4M(4.6M)(4.4M)
Capital Expenditures27.6M30.0M25.7M24.0M8.8M8.3M
Net Income69.3M91.6M71.0M108.0M151.6M159.2M
End Period Cash Flow88.8M75.3M138.5M176.4M205.2M215.4M
Change To Netincome42.4M44.1M62.8M33.8M38.8M24.8M
Investments(3.4M)(49.8M)(4.5M)145.1M(2.1M)(2.2M)
Change Receivables(2.5M)(22.6M)(9.2M)(13.4M)(12.0M)(12.7M)

Qualys Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Qualys or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Qualys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Qualys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.93
σ
Overall volatility
3.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Qualys Volatility Alert

Qualys Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Qualys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Qualys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Qualys Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Qualys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Qualys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Qualys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Qualys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Qualys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Qualys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Qualys to competition
FundamentalsQualysPeer Average
Return On Equity0.48-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.29 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.38 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding36.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.88 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.12 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.63 M4.71 M
Price To Earning46.56 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.03 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.12 X11.42 X
Revenue554.46 M9.43 B
Gross Profit386.94 M27.38 B
EBITDA163.07 M3.9 B
Net Income151.59 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents385.28 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share10.14 X5.01 X
Total Debt28.74 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.61 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations244.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.26 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.67 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.69 X4.89 X
Target Price138.25
Number Of Employees2.27 K18.84 K
Beta0.46-0.15
Market Capitalization4.72 B19.03 B
Total Asset812.62 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(228.08 M)9.33 B
Working Capital210.79 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 7007 shares by Sumedh Thakar of Qualys at 120.34 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Qualys Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Qualys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Qualys Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Qualys Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Qualys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Qualys in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Investment Grade ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Investment Grade ETFs theme has 254 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investment Grade ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Qualys Stock Analysis

When running Qualys' price analysis, check to measure Qualys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qualys is operating at the current time. Most of Qualys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qualys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qualys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qualys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.