Pagaya Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PGY Stock  USD 32.73  0.52  1.61%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pagaya Technologies is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Pagaya Technologies given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Pagaya Technologies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.Check out Pagaya Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Pagaya Stock please use our How to Invest in Pagaya Technologies guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pagaya and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pagaya Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Pagaya Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Pagaya recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pagaya Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pagaya Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pagaya Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Pagaya TechnologiesBuy Pagaya Technologies
Strong Buy

Market Performance

StrongDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

FairDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Pagaya Technologies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2777, Jensen Alpha of 1.55, Total Risk Alpha of 1.08, Sortino Ratio of 0.5135 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6573
Our advice module can be used to complement Pagaya Technologies recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Pagaya Technologies is not overpriced, please check all Pagaya Technologies fundamentals, including its cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and short ratio . Given that Pagaya Technologies has a number of shares shorted of 9.46 M, we recommend you to check out Pagaya Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pagaya Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Pagaya Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Pagaya Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (445.7 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 457.11 M.
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pagaya Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pagaya Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pagaya Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pagaya Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pagaya Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pagaya Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pagaya Technologies.
Mean Return
1.88
Value At Risk
-4.28
Potential Upside
9.64
Standard Deviation
5.60
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pagaya Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pagaya Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pagaya Technologies or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pagaya Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pagaya stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.84
σ
Overall volatility
5.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.31

Pagaya Technologies Volatility Alert

Pagaya Technologies shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pagaya Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pagaya Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pagaya Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pagaya Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pagaya Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pagaya Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pagaya Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pagaya Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pagaya Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pagaya Technologies to competition
FundamentalsPagaya TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.63-0.31
Return On Asset0.0502-0.14
Profit Margin(0.35) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.91 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding63.06 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders14.93 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions53.18 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.46 M4.71 M
Price To Book6.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.26 X11.42 X
Revenue1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit457.11 M27.38 B
EBITDA67.89 M3.9 B
Net Income(445.7 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents330.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.49 X5.01 X
Total Debt680.81 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.22 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.93 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.45 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations66.52 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.93 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.79) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.06 X4.89 X
Target Price33.08
Number Of Employees52718.84 K
Beta5.99-0.15
Market Capitalization2.44 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(944.04 M)9.33 B
Working Capital155.99 M1.48 B
Net Asset1.29 B
Note: Disposition of 22916 shares by Sanjiv Das of Pagaya Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pagaya Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pagaya . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pagaya Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pagaya Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Pagaya Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Aircraft Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Aircraft theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aircraft Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Pagaya Stock Analysis

When running Pagaya Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Pagaya Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pagaya Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Pagaya Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pagaya Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pagaya Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pagaya Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.