Origin Materials Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ORGN Stock | USD 1.03 0.01 0.96% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Origin Materials is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Origin Materials' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Origin Materials Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Origin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Origin |
Execute Origin Materials Buy or Sell Advice
The Origin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Origin Materials. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Origin Materials or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Origin Materials' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Origin Materials Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Origin Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Origin Materials has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Origin Materials has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Origin Materials currently holds about 406.14 M in cash with (60.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Origin Materials co-CEO John Bissell sells 8,260 in stock |
Origin Materials Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Origin Materials' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Origin Materials' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Origin Materials daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Origin Materials price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Origin Materials returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Origin Materials.
| Mean Return | -0.54 | Value At Risk | -7.1 | Potential Upside | 8.39 | Standard Deviation | 4.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Origin Materials historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Origin Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Origin Materials, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Materials back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 537.8 K | Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp | 2024-06-30 | 470.7 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 470.2 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 466.4 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-06-30 | 459.2 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 395.1 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 392.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 391.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 275.5 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.5 M |
Origin Materials Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Origin Materials or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Origin Materials' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Origin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Origin Materials Volatility Alert
Origin Materials exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.39 and kurtosis of 2.06. Origin Materials is a potential penny stock. Although Origin Materials may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Origin Materials. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Origin instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Origin Materials Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Origin Materials' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Origin Materials' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Origin Materials and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Origin Materials or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Origin Materials' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Materials by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Origin Materials to competition |
| Fundamentals | Origin Materials | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.033 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0889 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.38) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (2.60) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 47 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 146.25 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.82 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 17.69 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.24 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.42 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 28.8 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (3.68 K) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 26.82 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 23.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 406.14 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.95 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.76 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 43.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.99 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (60.35 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.59 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.57) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 162 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.01 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 150.64 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 461.83 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 45.57 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 174.25 M | 1.48 B |
| Five Year Return | 252.92 % |
Note: Acquisition by Richard Riley of 35430 shares of Origin Materials at 0.7756 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Origin Materials Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Origin Materials Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Origin Materials? Buying financial instruments such as Origin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Origin Materials in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Candy and Soda Thematic Idea Now
Candy and Soda
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Candy and Soda theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Candy and Soda Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Origin Materials Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Materials listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.667 | Earnings Share (0.57) | Revenue Per Share 0.241 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of Origin Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Materials' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.