Hilton Grand Vacations Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HGV Stock | USD 40.78 0.03 0.07% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hilton Grand Vacations is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hilton Grand Vacations given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hilton Grand. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hilton Grand Vacations, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Hilton Grand Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hilton and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Hilton Grand Vacations. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Hilton |
Execute Hilton Grand Buy or Sell Advice
The Hilton recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hilton Grand Vacations. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hilton Grand Vacations or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hilton Grand's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Hilton Grand Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hilton Grand has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DoubleTree by Hilton Greensboro Airport Celebrates Grand Reopening with Ribbon-Cutting Event After Extensive Renovations |
Hilton Grand Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hilton Grand's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hilton Grand's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hilton Grand daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hilton Grand Vacations price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hilton Grand returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hilton Grand.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -2.96 | Potential Upside | 3.07 | Standard Deviation | 1.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hilton Grand historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hilton Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Hilton Grand, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilton Grand Vacations back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Nantahala Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | 683 Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Close Asset Management Limited | 2024-06-30 | 1.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 950 K | Mudita Advisors Llp | 2024-09-30 | 916.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 862 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 808.8 K | Apollo Management Holdings Lp | 2024-06-30 | 30.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 8.4 M |
Hilton Grand Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (4M) | (91M) | 15M | 100M | (93M) | (88.4M) | |
| Change In Cash | (28M) | 374M | 169M | (140M) | 330M | 346.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 82M | 48M | 129M | 650M | 237M | 184.5M | |
| Depreciation | 51M | 45M | 126M | 244M | 213M | 223.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (84M) | 260M | 135M | 193M | 209M | 219.5M | |
| Net Income | 216M | (201M) | 176M | 352M | 313M | 211.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 152M | 526M | 695M | 555M | 885M | 929.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 178M | 341M | 1.7B | (507M) | (583.1M) | (553.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 99M | 170M | 235M | 157M | 180.6M | 113.9M | |
| Change Receivables | (131M) | 163M | (216M) | (401M) | (360.9M) | (342.9M) |
Hilton Grand Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hilton Grand or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hilton Grand's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hilton stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Hilton Grand Volatility Alert
Hilton Grand Vacations has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.44 and kurtosis of 0.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hilton Grand's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hilton Grand's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hilton Grand Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hilton Grand's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hilton Grand's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hilton Grand and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hilton Grand or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hilton Grand's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hilton Grand by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hilton Grand to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hilton Grand | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0493 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0476 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.43 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 98.49 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.42 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.58 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.86 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.18 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.95 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.98 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 930 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 313 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 223 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.59 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.87 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.29 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 312 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.88 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 45.56 | |
| Number Of Employees | 15 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.83 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.02 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.69 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 593 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3.72 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.53 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Payment of 5846 shares by Mark Wang of Hilton Grand subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hilton Grand Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hilton . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hilton Grand Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hilton Grand Vacations? Buying financial instruments such as Hilton Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Hilton Grand in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Sport Products Thematic Idea Now
Sport Products
Companies manufacturing sporting goods and accessories. The Sport Products theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sport Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis
When running Hilton Grand's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Grand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Grand is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Grand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Grand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Grand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Grand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.