Good Times Restaurants Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GTIM Stock  USD 2.52  0.13  4.91%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Good Times Restaurants is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Good Times' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Good Times Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Good and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Good Times Restaurants. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Good Times Buy or Sell Advice

The Good recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Good Times Restaurants. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Good Times Restaurants or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Good Times' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Good TimesBuy Good Times
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Good Times Restaurants has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.27), Total Risk Alpha of (0.49) and Treynor Ratio of (0.42)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Good Times. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Good Times Restaurants is not overpriced, please check out all Good Times fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Please also validate Good Times Restaurants price to earning to confirm your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Good Times Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Good Times generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Good Times Restaurants currently holds 43.59 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Good Times Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Good Times' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 25.0% of Good Times shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Good Times Restaurants Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Record Revenue and ...

Good Times Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Good Times' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Good Times' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Good Times daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Good Times Restaurants price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Good Times returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Good Times.
Mean Return
-0.22
Value At Risk
-3.4
Potential Upside
3.52
Standard Deviation
2.49
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Good Times historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Good Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Good Times, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Good Times Restaurants back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
13 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
6.7 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.6 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
168
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
20.0
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Simplex Trading, Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Innealta Capital, Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
417.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
271.1 K
Note, although Good Times' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Good Times Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash8.7M(2.6M)50K(4.7M)(329K)(312.6K)
Free Cash Flow5.8M5.9M2.7M3.2M5.1M5.4M
Depreciation8.3M7.5M7.9M3.8M4.3M4.5M
Other Non Cash Items15.6M(11.8M)3.0M1.2M4.9M5.2M
Capital Expenditures8.1M2.6M3.2M2.6M4.8M0.0
Net Income(12.8M)18.4M(927K)11.7M13.4M14.1M
End Period Cash Flow11.5M8.9M8.9M4.2M3.9M3.5M
Dividends Paid1.8M1.4M440K755K868.3K606.5K
Change To Inventory35K(210K)(64K)(5K)(4.5K)(4.7K)
Net Borrowings2.1M5.4M4.3M(5.5M)(6.3M)(6.0M)
Change To Netincome3.5M15.9M(11.4M)4.9M5.7M6.0M
Investments12K(3.2M)(2.6M)(10.4M)(9.4M)(8.9M)

Good Times Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Good Times or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Good Times' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Good stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
2.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Good Times Volatility Alert

Good Times Restaurants exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.51 and kurtosis of 2.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Good Times' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Good Times' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Good Times Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Good Times' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Good Times' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Good Times and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Good Times or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Good Times' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Good Times by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Good Times to competition
FundamentalsGood TimesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0434-0.31
Return On Asset0.0104-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation69.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding10.75 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted38.28 K4.71 M
Price To Earning2.54 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.20 X11.42 X
Revenue142.31 M9.43 B
Gross Profit16.67 M27.38 B
EBITDA5.23 M3.9 B
Net Income11.67 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents9.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.79 X5.01 X
Total Debt43.59 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.77 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.13 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.12 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.14 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.53) X4.89 X
Target Price5.0
Number Of Employees2.25 K18.84 K
Beta1.87-0.15
Market Capitalization28.49 M19.03 B
Total Asset87.12 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(17.62 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(8.3 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Stetson Jennifer C of 105 shares of Good Times at 3.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Good Times Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Good . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Good Times Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Good Times Restaurants? Buying financial instruments such as Good Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Good Times in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Processed Foods Thematic Idea Now

Processed Foods
Processed Foods Theme
Companies producing and distributing processed foods to retail sectors. The Processed Foods theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Processed Foods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Good Times Restaurants is a strong investment it is important to analyze Good Times' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Good Times' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Good Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Good Times Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Good Times. If investors know Good will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Good Times listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.714
Earnings Share
0.14
Revenue Per Share
12.523
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0104
The market value of Good Times Restaurants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Good that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Good Times' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Good Times' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Good Times' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Good Times' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Good Times' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Good Times is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Good Times' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.