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Fat Brands Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FATBB Stock  USD 2.58  0.10  3.73%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding FAT Brands is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides FAT Brands buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FATBB positions. Check out FAT Brands Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FAT and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards FAT Brands. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute FAT Brands Buy or Sell Advice

The FAT recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FAT Brands. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FAT Brands or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FAT Brands' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FAT BrandsBuy FAT Brands
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon FAT Brands has a Mean Deviation of 3.01, Semi Deviation of 4.19, Standard Deviation of 4.24, Variance of 17.97, Downside Variance of 26.45 and Semi Variance of 17.57
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on FAT Brands. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available today. To make sure FAT Brands is not overpriced, please confirm all FAT Brands fundamentals, including its price to sales, net income, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and cash per share . Please also check FAT Brands number of shares shorted to verify your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself for few more years.

FAT Brands Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FAT Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FAT Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
FAT Brands has accumulated 1.47 B in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 592.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (189.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.9 M.
FAT Brands has accumulated about 23.91 M in cash with (56.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44.
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: DOJ drops charges against Fat Brands, chair Andy Wiederhorn - CNBC

FAT Brands Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FAT Brands' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FAT Brands' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FAT Brands daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FAT Brands price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FAT Brands returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FAT Brands.
Mean Return
0.06
Value At Risk
-9.26
Potential Upside
6.93
Standard Deviation
4.24
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FAT Brands historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FAT Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-03-31
60.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
22 K
Ridgewood Investments Llc2025-06-30
8.8 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2025-03-31
1.1 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-03-31
619
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2025-03-31
4.0
Bank Of America Corp2025-03-31
4.0
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
2.0
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2025-03-31
1.0
Fmr Inc2025-03-31
0.0
Note, although FAT Brands' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FAT Brands Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(4.8M)13.4M0.0(2.4M)886K930.3K
Change In Cash7.2M92.7M(31.2M)23.1M(24.5M)(23.3M)
Free Cash Flow(11.9M)(9.7M)(70.6M)(57.1M)(79.0M)(75.1M)
Other Non Cash Items10.6M13.2M50.9M6.7M65.3M68.5M
Dividends Paid318K13.3M16.6M16.3M17.3M18.2M
Capital Expenditures460K10.4M23.2M21.5M22.8M23.9M
Net Income(14.9M)(31.6M)(126.2M)(90.1M)(189.8M)(180.4M)
End Period Cash Flow7.2M99.9M68.8M91.9M67.4M41.1M
Investments(13.4M)212K1.8M(12.4M)(26.5M)(25.1M)
Net Borrowings5.8M50.0M803.9M50.3M57.9M55.0M
Depreciation1.2M8.6M27.0M31.1M41.5M43.6M
Change To Netincome53K3.4M32.3M78.8M90.6M95.1M

FAT Brands Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FAT Brands or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FAT Brands' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FAT stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
4.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

FAT Brands Volatility Alert

FAT Brands exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FAT Brands' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FAT Brands' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FAT Brands Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FAT Brands' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FAT Brands' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FAT Brands and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FAT Brands or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FAT Brands' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAT Brands by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FAT Brands to competition
FundamentalsFAT BrandsPeer Average
Return On Asset-0.0203-0.14
Profit Margin(0.37) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.52 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.27 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders63.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.29 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.25 K4.71 M
Price To Book25.58 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.07 X11.42 X
Revenue592.65 M9.43 B
Gross Profit144.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA(12.82 M)3.9 B
Net Income(189.85 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents23.91 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.47 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(32.43) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(56.25 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(12.71) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2.09 K18.84 K
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization39.98 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(458.62 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(210.28 M)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.21 %
Net Asset1.29 B
Last Dividend Paid0.28
Note: Acquisition by Andrew Wiederhorn of 246 shares of FAT Brands at 5.2499 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

FAT Brands Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FAT . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FAT Brands Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FAT Brands? Buying financial instruments such as FAT Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in FAT Stock

FAT Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether FAT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FAT with respect to the benefits of owning FAT Brands security.