Saul Centers Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BFS Stock  USD 40.70  0.78  1.88%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Saul Centers is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Saul Centers given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Saul Centers. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Saul Centers, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Saul Centers Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Saul Stock please use our How to Invest in Saul Centers guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Saul and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Saul Centers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Saul Centers Buy or Sell Advice

The Saul recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Saul Centers. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Saul Centers or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Saul Centers' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Saul CentersBuy Saul Centers
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Saul Centers has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0911, Jensen Alpha of 0.0141, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of (0.04) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1812
Saul Centers recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendation provided by analysts inspecting the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Saul Centers is not overpriced, please validate all Saul Centers fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, current asset, and the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Saul Centers has a price to earning of 34.04 X, we advise you to double-check Saul Centers market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Saul Centers Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Saul Centers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of October 2024 Saul Centers paid $ 0.59 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Saul Centers, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2024 Earnings

Saul Centers Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Saul Centers' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Saul Centers' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Saul Centers daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Saul Centers price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Saul Centers returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Saul Centers.
Mean Return
0.12
Value At Risk
-1.4
Potential Upside
2.05
Standard Deviation
1.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Saul Centers historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Saul Stock Institutional Investors

The Saul Centers' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Saul Centers' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
119.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
118.6 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
104.7 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
97 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
89 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
86.2 K
Man Group Plc2024-06-30
80.6 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2024-06-30
78.8 K
Cary Street Partners Investment Advisory Llc2024-06-30
64.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
M
Note, although Saul Centers' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Saul Centers Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(673K)13.0M(12.3M)(1.3M)(4.9M)(4.6M)
Free Cash Flow115.4M78.4M118.4M140.2M117.7M123.6M
Depreciation46.3M51.1M50.3M49.0M48.4M32.7M
Other Non Cash Items46.0M49.6M51.0M(171K)15.2M22.8M
Dividends Paid61.0M60.6M62.2M66.7M67.9M45.4M
Capital Expenditures90.5M52.4M21.9M56.5M55.9M19.0M
Net Income64.2M50.3M61.6M65.4M52.7M37.7M
End Period Cash Flow13.9M26.9M14.6M13.3M8.4M11.9M
Change To Inventory3.8M(339K)17.8M(5.4M)(6.3M)(5.9M)
Change Receivables339K(17.8M)5.4M2.4M2.8M2.9M
Net Borrowings67.7M58.1M(11.6M)73.2M65.9M43.0M
Change To Netincome4.0M359K4.3M62K71.3K67.7K
Investments(135.7M)(56.2M)(55.9M)(116.9M)(179.6M)(170.7M)

Saul Centers Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saul Centers or Retail REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saul Centers' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saul stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Saul Centers Volatility Alert

Saul Centers has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of -0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saul Centers' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saul Centers' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Saul Centers Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Saul Centers' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Saul Centers' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Saul Centers and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Saul Centers or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Saul Centers' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saul Centers by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Saul Centers to competition
FundamentalsSaul CentersPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0381-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.47 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.82 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.17 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.99 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions46.16 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted94.54 K4.71 M
Price To Earning34.04 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.35 X11.42 X
Revenue257.74 M9.43 B
Gross Profit181.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA166.61 M3.9 B
Net Income52.69 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents13.28 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.39 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.21 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.46 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations117.73 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.32 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.86 X3.12 X
Target Price45.5
Number Of Employees13218.84 K
Beta1.1-0.15
Market Capitalization1.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.99 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(288.82 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(290.24 M)1.48 B
Current Asset65.74 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Andrew Saul of 2500 shares of Saul Centers at 33.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Saul Centers Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Saul . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Saul Centers Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Saul Centers? Buying financial instruments such as Saul Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Saul Centers in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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SPAC
SPAC Theme
Entities that are involved in raising capital, merging with and acquiring companies, and investing in private equity through leveraged buyouts. The SPAC theme has 24 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize SPAC Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Saul Stock Analysis

When running Saul Centers' price analysis, check to measure Saul Centers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saul Centers is operating at the current time. Most of Saul Centers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saul Centers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saul Centers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saul Centers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.