Arch Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARCH Stock | USD 164.14 0.94 0.58% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Arch Resources is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Arch Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Arch Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Arch Stock please use our How to Invest in Arch Resources guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arch and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Arch Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Arch |
Execute Arch Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The Arch recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arch Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arch Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arch Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Arch Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Arch Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Arch Resources has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call American Resources details strategic growth and spin-offs |
Arch Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arch Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arch Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arch Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arch Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arch Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arch Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -2.86 | Potential Upside | 4.13 | Standard Deviation | 2.47 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arch Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arch Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Jb Capital Partners Lp | 2024-06-30 | 337.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 305.6 K | Gendell Jeffrey L | 2024-06-30 | 275 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 257.8 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-06-30 | 253.4 K | Lsp Investment Advisors, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 249.3 K | Skylands Capital, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 233.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-06-30 | 183.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 178.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M |
Arch Resources Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (15.3M) | (9.1M) | (30.7M) | (66.3M) | (21.2M) | (20.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | (111.9M) | 40.4M | 132.9M | (89.1M) | 51.7M | 54.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 152.1M | (226.0M) | (8.3M) | 1.0B | 459.3M | 482.3M | |
| Depreciation | 120.4M | 315.8M | 143.6M | 133.3M | 167.6M | 226.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.7M | 26.7M | (67.1M) | (126.7M) | (26.7M) | (25.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 30.2M | 8.2M | 3.8M | 456.4M | 206.1M | 216.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 267.6M | 287.1M | 246.6M | 173.8M | 176.0M | 260.4M | |
| Net Income | 233.8M | (344.6M) | 337.6M | 1.3B | 464.0M | 487.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 153.0M | 193.4M | 326.3M | 237.2M | 288.9M | 196.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 9.1M | 28.1M | 43.8M | (195.6M) | (176.1M) | (167.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | 30.7M | 63.7M | (213.0M) | 77.3M | 69.5M | 73.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.4M) | 179.7M | 23.8M | (494.2M) | (444.8M) | (422.5M) | |
| Investments | 27.9M | 38.1M | (141.2M) | (203.8M) | (233.2M) | (221.6M) |
Arch Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arch Resources or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arch Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arch stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Arch Resources Volatility Alert
Arch Resources has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.66 and kurtosis of 6.88. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arch Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arch Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Arch Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arch Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arch Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arch Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arch Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arch Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arch Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arch Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arch Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0576 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.84 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.11 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.62 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.83 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.06 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.15 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.39 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 733.96 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 464.04 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 500.99 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 27.23 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 153.85 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.48 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 79.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 635.37 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.64 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.59 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 165.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.97 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.48 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.83 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 549.81 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 979.32 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 1683 shares by Matthew Giljum of Arch Resources subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Arch Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arch . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Arch Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arch Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Arch Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Arch Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Arch Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Arch Stock please use our How to Invest in Arch Resources guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arch Resources. If investors know Arch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arch Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Dividend Share 4.14 | Earnings Share 9.59 | Revenue Per Share 145.14 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Arch Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arch Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arch Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arch Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arch Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arch Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arch Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arch Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.