Alto Ingredients Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALTO Stock | USD 1.45 0.02 1.36% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alto Ingredients is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Alto Ingredients' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Alto Ingredients Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Alto Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alto Ingredients guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alto and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alto Ingredients. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Alto |
Execute Alto Ingredients Buy or Sell Advice
The Alto recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alto Ingredients. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alto Ingredients or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alto Ingredients' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alto Ingredients Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alto Ingredients had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Alto Ingredients may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alto Ingredients has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (28 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.55 M). | |
| Alto Ingredients has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SoftBank-Backed Alto Raises 40 Million Via Convertible Note |
Alto Ingredients Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alto Ingredients' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alto Ingredients' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alto Ingredients daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alto Ingredients price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alto Ingredients returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alto Ingredients.
| Mean Return | -0.11 | Value At Risk | -3.01 | Potential Upside | 6.33 | Standard Deviation | 5.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alto Ingredients historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alto Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Alto Ingredients, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alto Ingredients back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 441.4 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-09-30 | 421.5 K | Ancora Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 408.7 K | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2024-09-30 | 370.9 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 288.1 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 283.8 K | Panagora Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 277.4 K | Aufman Associates Inc | 2024-09-30 | 266.7 K | State Street Corp | 2024-09-30 | 265.3 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M |
Alto Ingredients Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (2.8M) | 19.1M | (16.4M) | (15.5M) | 11.8M | 12.4M | |
| Change In Cash | (7.6M) | 28.7M | 13.9M | (12.6M) | (4.0M) | (3.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (26.6M) | 65.2M | 10.4M | (31.7M) | (7.5M) | (7.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 47.9M | 30.3M | 23.3M | 25.1M | 23.1M | 18.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 37.7M | 11.0M | 548K | (12.3M) | 19.3M | 20.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.3M | 6.6M | 16.4M | 37.7M | 29.5M | 20.3M | |
| Net Income | (101.3M) | (17.3M) | 46.1M | (41.6M) | (28.0M) | (29.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.0M | 47.7M | 62.1M | 49.5M | 45.5M | 25.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | 9.5M | (147.8M) | (37.6M) | 21.6M | 19.4M | 20.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 26.9M | 18.4M | (20.6M) | (9.3M) | (8.4M) | (8.0M) | |
| Investments | (3.3M) | 23.3M | 27.1M | 14.8M | (40.6M) | (38.6M) |
Alto Ingredients Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alto Ingredients or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alto Ingredients' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alto stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Alto Ingredients Volatility Alert
Alto Ingredients exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -5.25 and kurtosis of 37.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alto Ingredients' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alto Ingredients' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alto Ingredients Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alto Ingredients' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alto Ingredients' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alto Ingredients and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alto Ingredients or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alto Ingredients' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alto Ingredients by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alto Ingredients to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alto Ingredients | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0344 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 182.6 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 76.65 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.91 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 31.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 729.59 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.22 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.43 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.22 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (27.55 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (28 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 57.38 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.77 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 105.46 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.18 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.44 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 22.02 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.51) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.61 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 4.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 460 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 112.67 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 454.24 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (763.91 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 103.48 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Graham Auste M of 71660 shares of Alto Ingredients subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alto Ingredients Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alto . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 34172.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
About Alto Ingredients Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alto Ingredients? Buying financial instruments such as Alto Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Alto Ingredients Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Alto Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alto Ingredients guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alto Ingredients. If investors know Alto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alto Ingredients listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Earnings Share (0.51) | Revenue Per Share 13.684 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Alto Ingredients is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alto Ingredients' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alto Ingredients' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alto Ingredients' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alto Ingredients' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alto Ingredients' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alto Ingredients is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alto Ingredients' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.