Albany International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIN Stock  USD 84.78  2.25  2.73%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Albany International is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Albany International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Albany International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Albany Stock, please use our How to Invest in Albany International guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Albany and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Albany International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Albany International Buy or Sell Advice

The Albany recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Albany International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Albany International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Albany International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Albany InternationalBuy Albany International
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Albany International has a Mean Deviation of 1.71, Standard Deviation of 2.54 and Variance of 6.44
Macroaxis provides advice on Albany International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Albany International. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Albany International is not overpriced, please confirm all Albany International fundamentals, including its current valuation, revenue, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Given that Albany International has a price to earning of 28.37 X, we suggest you to validate Albany International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Albany International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Albany International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 7th of October 2024 Albany International paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Albany International Rating Lowered to Hold at StockNews.com

Albany International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Albany International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Albany International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Albany International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Albany International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Albany International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Albany International.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-4
Potential Upside
2.73
Standard Deviation
2.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Albany International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Albany Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Albany International, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albany International back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
715.8 K
Sei Investments Co2024-06-30
708.4 K
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-06-30
653.4 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
586.3 K
Aristotle Capital Boston, Llc2024-06-30
478.3 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
467.2 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-09-30
420.2 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
408.9 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
403.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
4.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.5 M
Note, although Albany International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Albany International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(8.9M)(13.7M)(9.9M)(24.5M)15.1M15.8M
Change In Cash(2.2M)45.8M60.7M(10.3M)(118.4M)(112.4M)
Free Cash Flow132.4M97.9M163.8M31.9M63.6M38.0M
Depreciation70.8M72.7M74.3M69.0M76.7M63.7M
Other Non Cash Items4.2M17.2M(2.5M)42.0M1.3M1.3M
Dividends Paid23.3M24.6M25.9M26.5M31.2M16.6M
Capital Expenditures68.0M42.4M53.7M96.3M84.4M65.7M
Net Income133.4M97.2M118.8M96.5M111.1M116.7M
End Period Cash Flow195.5M241.3M302.0M291.8M173.4M108.3M
Change To Netincome19.5M883K1.7M2.9M3.4M3.5M
Change Receivables9.6M31.5M(7.7M)(14.3M)(16.4M)(17.3M)
Net Borrowings(75.0M)(28.5M)(48.0M)89M102.4M107.5M
Investments(98.7M)(42.4M)(53.7M)(96.3M)(217.9M)(228.8M)

Albany International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Albany International or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Albany International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Albany stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Albany International Volatility Alert

Albany International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.71 and kurtosis of 6.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Albany International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Albany International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Albany International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Albany International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Albany International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Albany International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Albany International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Albany International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Albany International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Albany International to competition
FundamentalsAlbany InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0598-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.89 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted385.96 K4.71 M
Price To Earning28.37 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.68 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.09 X11.42 X
Revenue1.15 B9.43 B
Gross Profit389.78 M27.38 B
EBITDA272.6 M3.9 B
Net Income111.12 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents291.78 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.89 X5.01 X
Total Debt514.86 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.55 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share31.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations148.06 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.20 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.00 X4.89 X
Target Price85.0
Number Of Employees5.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.29-0.15
Market Capitalization2.65 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.01 B9.33 B
Working Capital629.28 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1183 shares by Gregory Harwell of Albany International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Albany International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Albany . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Albany International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Albany International? Buying financial instruments such as Albany Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Albany International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Government Funds
Government Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by national government to finance government spending or to facilitate Federal Reserve monetary policies. The Government Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Government Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Albany International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Albany International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Albany International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Albany International Stock:
Check out Albany International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Albany Stock, please use our How to Invest in Albany International guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albany International. If investors know Albany will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albany International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Dividend Share
1.04
Earnings Share
3.2
Revenue Per Share
40.587
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
The market value of Albany International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albany that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albany International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albany International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albany International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albany International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albany International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Albany International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albany International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.