Alliance Entertainment Holding Stock Market Outlook
| AENT Stock | 5.50 0.88 13.79% |
Slightly above 63% of all Alliance Entertainment's private investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Alliance Entertainment Holding stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Alliance Entertainment's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Alliance Entertainment's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 63
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Alliance Entertainment's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Alliance Entertainment Holding.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentAcquiring |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alliance Entertainment Holding is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alliance Entertainment Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alliance Entertainment Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Alliance Entertainment Advice
The Alliance recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alliance Entertainment Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alliance Entertainment Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alliance Entertainment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Alliance Entertainment Holding has a Mean Deviation of 3.34, Standard Deviation of 4.74 and Variance of 22.48We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alliance Entertainment. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alliance Entertainment is not overpriced, please confirm all Alliance Entertainment fundamentals, including its net income, and the relationship between the price to book and earnings per share . Given that Alliance Entertainment has a shares owned by institutions of 47.83 %, we suggest you to validate Alliance Entertainment Holding market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Alliance Entertainment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alliance Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alliance Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript |
Alliance Entertainment Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alliance Entertainment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alliance Entertainment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alliance Entertainment daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alliance Entertainment Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alliance Entertainment returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Alliance Entertainment.
| Mean Return | -0.2 | Value At Risk | -7.13 | Potential Upside | 9.79 | Standard Deviation | 4.74 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alliance Entertainment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alliance Entertainment Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (8.6M) | (107.8M) | 99.7M | 114.1M | (4.7M) | 119.8M | |
| Change In Cash | 2.7M | (2.6M) | (604K) | 427K | 107K | 448.4K | |
| Net Borrowings | 81.0M | (3.2M) | (53.3M) | (18.6M) | (16.7M) | (15.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 74.1M | (83.6M) | 2.6M | 48M | 26.8M | 50.4M | |
| Depreciation | 11.4M | 8.3M | 6.6M | 6.6M | 5.3M | 7.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 648K | 661K | 11.6M | 1K | 6.2M | 950.0 | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.7M | 650K | 50K | 825K | 0.0 | 54K | |
| Net Income | 34.2M | 28.6M | (35.4M) | (31.4M) | 15.1M | (29.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.0M | 1.5M | 865K | 1.2M | 1.1M | 1.4M | |
| Investments | (66.1M) | (116.2M) | (824K) | (825K) | (8.1M) | (866.3K) |
Alliance Entertainment Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alliance Entertainment or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alliance Entertainment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alliance stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Alliance Entertainment Volatility Alert
Alliance Entertainment Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.22 and kurtosis of 1.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alliance Entertainment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alliance Entertainment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alliance Entertainment Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alliance Entertainment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alliance Entertainment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alliance Entertainment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alliance Entertainment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alliance Entertainment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliance Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alliance Entertainment to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alliance Entertainment | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.064 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 420.68 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 50.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 93.95 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 47.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 407.65 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 3.28 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.65 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.06 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 144.5 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 34.62 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 15.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 90.94 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 26.81 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.39 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 10.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 697 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.47 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 707.91 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 361.23 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 54.72 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 45.4 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 361.23 M |
Note: Acquisition by Bruce Ogilvie of 56 shares of Alliance Entertainment at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alliance Entertainment Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alliance . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 65612.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.86 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.88) |
About Alliance Entertainment Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alliance Entertainment Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Alliance Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis
When running Alliance Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.