Arbor Realty Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ABR Stock | USD 11.89 0.14 1.19% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arbor Realty Trust is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Arbor Realty Trust within the specified time frame.
Check out Arbor Realty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arbor and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Arbor Realty Trust. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Arbor |
Execute Arbor Realty Buy or Sell Advice
The Arbor recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arbor Realty Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arbor Realty Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arbor Realty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Arbor Realty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Arbor Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arbor Realty Trust has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 21st of March 2025 Arbor Realty paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Is Arbor Realty Trust Gaining Institutional Attention Amid Market Volatility |
Arbor Realty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arbor Realty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arbor Realty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arbor Realty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arbor Realty Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arbor Realty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arbor Realty.
| Mean Return | -0.17 | Value At Risk | -2.68 | Potential Upside | 2.49 | Standard Deviation | 2.20 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arbor Realty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arbor Stock Institutional Investors
The Arbor Realty's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Arbor Realty's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 914.5 K | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 819.5 K | Melia Wealth Llc | 2024-12-31 | 754.4 K | Azora Capital Lp | 2024-12-31 | 669.1 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 649.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 25.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 19.5 M |
Arbor Realty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 26.4M | 354.3M | 356.9M | 289.0M | (877.0M) | (833.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 55.2M | 216.8M | 1.1B | 235.9M | 461.5M | 484.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (218.6M) | (174.7M) | 734.6M | (170.8M) | 165.4M | 173.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 149.4M | 227.1M | 321.7M | (380.6M) | (394.8M) | (375.1M) | |
| Net Income | 196.2M | 377.8M | 353.8M | 400.6M | 283.9M | 298.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 537.0M | 891.3M | 1.2B | 1.5B | 660.2M | 693.2M | |
| Depreciation | 56.9M | 65.8M | 68.6M | 72.8M | 9.6M | 9.1M | |
| Investments | (1.2B) | (6.8B) | (2.3B) | 1.9B | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| Net Borrowings | 484.5M | 792.9M | 2.8B | (542.8M) | (624.2M) | (655.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (366.8M) | (180.1M) | (59.9M) | 654.3M | 752.5M | 790.1M |
Arbor Realty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arbor Realty or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arbor Realty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arbor stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Arbor Realty Volatility Alert
Arbor Realty Trust exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.27 and kurtosis of 18.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arbor Realty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arbor Realty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Arbor Realty Implied Volatility
Arbor Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Arbor Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Arbor Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Arbor Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Arbor Realty's options are near their expiration.
Arbor Realty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arbor Realty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arbor Realty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arbor Realty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arbor Realty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arbor Realty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arbor Realty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arbor Realty to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arbor Realty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0886 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0194 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.42 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.48 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.53 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 189.5 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.63 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.59 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 59.38 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.40 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.55 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 625.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 565.19 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 375.37 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 283.92 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 534.36 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 285.85 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.92 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.91 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 461.52 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.20 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 12.63 | |
| Number Of Employees | 659 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.99 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.23 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13.49 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 13.04 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.15 % |
Note: Acquisition by Melvin Lazar of 676 shares of Arbor Realty subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Arbor Realty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arbor . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Arbor Realty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arbor Realty Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Arbor Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Arbor Stock Analysis
When running Arbor Realty's price analysis, check to measure Arbor Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbor Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Arbor Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbor Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbor Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbor Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.