Paypal Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 80.84
| PYPL Stock | USD 78.13 0.88 1.14% |
PayPal |
PayPal Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 80.84
The tendency of PayPal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 80.84 or more in 90 days |
| 78.13 | 90 days | 80.84 | about 13.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PayPal Holdings to move over $ 80.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.44 (This PayPal Holdings probability density function shows the probability of PayPal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PayPal Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 78.13 and $ 80.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PayPal Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally PayPal Holdings has an alpha of 0.2667, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PayPal Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PayPal Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PayPal Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PayPal Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PayPal Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PayPal Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PayPal Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PayPal Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
PayPal Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PayPal Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PayPal Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PayPal Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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PayPal Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PayPal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PayPal Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PayPal Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.1 B |
PayPal Holdings Technical Analysis
PayPal Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PayPal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PayPal Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing PayPal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PayPal Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
PayPal Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many PayPal Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PayPal Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PayPal Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about PayPal Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PayPal Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PayPal Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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Check out PayPal Holdings Backtesting, PayPal Holdings Valuation, PayPal Holdings Correlation, PayPal Holdings Hype Analysis, PayPal Holdings Volatility, PayPal Holdings History as well as PayPal Holdings Performance. For more information on how to buy PayPal Stock please use our How to buy in PayPal Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PayPal Holdings. If investors know PayPal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PayPal Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.065 | Earnings Share 4.18 | Revenue Per Share 29.966 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 | Return On Assets 0.0434 |
The market value of PayPal Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PayPal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PayPal Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PayPal Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PayPal Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PayPal Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PayPal Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PayPal Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PayPal Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.