New York Community Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.12

NYCBDelisted Stock  USD 10.55  0.27  2.50%   
New York's future price is the expected price of New York instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New York Community performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Please specify New York's target price for which you would like New York odds to be computed.

New York Target Price Odds to finish over 23.12

The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.12  or more in 90 days
 10.55 90 days 23.12 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New York to move over $ 23.12  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This New York Community probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New York Community price to stay between its current price of $ 10.55  and $ 23.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days New York Community has a beta of -0.8. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New York are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New York Community is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New York Community has an alpha of 0.1861, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   New York Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New York

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New York Community. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New York's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.9210.5614.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.469.1012.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.7710.4114.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5511.7012.84
Details

New York Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New York is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New York's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New York Community, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New York within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

New York Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New York for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New York Community can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New York Community is now traded under the symbol FLG. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
New York Community is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
New York Community had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
New York Community has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 B.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 17th of September 2024 New York paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why New York Community Bancorp Stock Dove by 8 percent Today

New York Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New York's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New York's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.5 B

New York Technical Analysis

New York's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New York Community. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New York Predictive Forecast Models

New York's time-series forecasting models is one of many New York's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New York's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New York Community

Checking the ongoing alerts about New York for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New York Community help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New York Community is now traded under the symbol FLG. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
New York Community is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
New York Community had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
New York Community has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 B.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 17th of September 2024 New York paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why New York Community Bancorp Stock Dove by 8 percent Today
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Other Consideration for investing in New Stock

If you are still planning to invest in New York Community check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the New York's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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