Levi Strauss Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.41
| LEVI Stock | USD 16.93 0.14 0.82% |
Levi |
Levi Strauss Target Price Odds to finish over 22.41
The tendency of Levi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.41 or more in 90 days |
| 16.93 | 90 days | 22.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Levi Strauss to move over $ 22.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Levi Strauss Co probability density function shows the probability of Levi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Levi Strauss price to stay between its current price of $ 16.93 and $ 22.41 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Levi Strauss has a beta of 0.88. This indicates Levi Strauss Co market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Levi Strauss is expected to follow. Additionally Levi Strauss Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Levi Strauss Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Levi Strauss
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Levi Strauss. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Levi Strauss' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Levi Strauss Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Levi Strauss is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Levi Strauss' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Levi Strauss Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Levi Strauss within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Levi Strauss Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Levi Strauss for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Levi Strauss can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Levi Strauss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Levi Strauss has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Jenny Ming of tradable shares of Levi Strauss subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Levi Strauss Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Levi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Levi Strauss' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Levi Strauss' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 401.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 398.8 M |
Levi Strauss Technical Analysis
Levi Strauss' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Levi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Levi Strauss Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Levi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Levi Strauss Predictive Forecast Models
Levi Strauss' time-series forecasting models is one of many Levi Strauss' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Levi Strauss' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Levi Strauss
Checking the ongoing alerts about Levi Strauss for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Levi Strauss help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Levi Strauss generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Levi Strauss has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Jenny Ming of tradable shares of Levi Strauss subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Levi Strauss Backtesting, Levi Strauss Valuation, Levi Strauss Correlation, Levi Strauss Hype Analysis, Levi Strauss Volatility, Levi Strauss History as well as Levi Strauss Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Levi Strauss. If investors know Levi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Levi Strauss listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.5 | Dividend Share 0.49 | Earnings Share 0.38 | Revenue Per Share 15.454 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Levi Strauss is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Levi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Levi Strauss' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Levi Strauss' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Levi Strauss' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Levi Strauss' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Levi Strauss' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Levi Strauss is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Levi Strauss' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.