Houston American Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.26
| HUSA Stock | USD 1.38 0.12 9.52% |
Houston |
Houston American Target Price Odds to finish over 23.26
The tendency of Houston Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 23.26 or more in 90 days |
| 1.38 | 90 days | 23.26 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Houston American to move over $ 23.26 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Houston American Energy probability density function shows the probability of Houston Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Houston American Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 1.38 and $ 23.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Houston American Energy has a beta of -3.87. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Houston American Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Houston American is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Houston American Energy has an alpha of 0.3886, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Houston American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Houston American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Houston American Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Houston American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Houston American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Houston American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Houston American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Houston American Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Houston American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Houston American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Houston American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Houston American Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Houston American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Houston American may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 794.03 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 703.99 K. | |
| Houston American has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Houston American Energy files for 8M mixed securities shelf |
Houston American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Houston Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Houston American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Houston American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Houston American Technical Analysis
Houston American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Houston Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Houston American Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Houston Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Houston American Predictive Forecast Models
Houston American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Houston American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Houston American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Houston American Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Houston American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Houston American Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Houston American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Houston American may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 794.03 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 703.99 K. | |
| Houston American has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Houston American Energy files for 8M mixed securities shelf |
Check out Houston American Backtesting, Houston American Valuation, Houston American Correlation, Houston American Hype Analysis, Houston American Volatility, Houston American History as well as Houston American Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Houston American. If investors know Houston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Houston American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.29) | Revenue Per Share 0.057 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.27) |
The market value of Houston American Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Houston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Houston American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Houston American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Houston American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Houston American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Houston American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Houston American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Houston American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.