Houston American Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HUSA Stock | USD 1.38 0.12 9.52% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Houston American Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.18. Houston Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Houston American stock prices and determine the direction of Houston American Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Houston American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Houston |
Houston American Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Houston American Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Houston Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Houston American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Houston American Stock Forecast Pattern
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Houston American Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Houston American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Houston American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.65, respectively. We have considered Houston American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Houston American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Houston American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0119 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0696 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0533 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.1783 |
Predictive Modules for Houston American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Houston American Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Houston American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Houston American
For every potential investor in Houston, whether a beginner or expert, Houston American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Houston Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Houston. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Houston American's price trends.Houston American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Houston American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Houston American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Houston American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Houston American Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Houston American's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Houston American's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Houston American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Houston American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Houston American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Houston American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Houston American Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 107100.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.090909 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 |
Houston American Risk Indicators
The analysis of Houston American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Houston American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting houston stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.72 | |||
| Variance | 59.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 37.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| TLN | Talen Energy | |
| TMUS | T Mobile | |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Houston American to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Houston American. If investors know Houston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Houston American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.29) | Revenue Per Share 0.057 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (0.27) |
The market value of Houston American Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Houston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Houston American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Houston American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Houston American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Houston American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Houston American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Houston American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Houston American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.