Group 1 Automotive Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 415.45

GPI Stock  USD 417.34  11.57  2.85%   
Group 1's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Group 1 Automotive. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Group 1 based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Group 1 Automotive over a specific time period. For example, GPI Option Call 15-11-2024 420 is a CALL option contract on Group 1's common stock with a strick price of 420.0 expiring on 2024-11-15. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-06 at 11:59:58 for $4.5 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 13th of November 2024 is 2.0. View All Group options

Closest to current price Group long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Group 1's future price is the expected price of Group 1 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Group 1 Automotive performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Group 1 Backtesting, Group 1 Valuation, Group 1 Correlation, Group 1 Hype Analysis, Group 1 Volatility, Group 1 History as well as Group 1 Performance.
  
As of now, Group 1's Price Earnings Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Group 1's current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 912.05, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.13. Please specify Group 1's target price for which you would like Group 1 odds to be computed.

Group 1 Target Price Odds to finish over 415.45

The tendency of Group Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 415.45  in 90 days
 417.34 90 days 415.45 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Group 1 to stay above $ 415.45  in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Group 1 Automotive probability density function shows the probability of Group Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Group 1 Automotive price to stay between $ 415.45  and its current price of $417.34 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Group 1 will likely underperform. Additionally Group 1 Automotive has an alpha of 0.0229, implying that it can generate a 0.0229 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Group 1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Group 1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Group 1 Automotive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
405.72407.87410.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
336.33338.48446.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
430.83432.98435.14
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
298.48328.00364.08
Details

Group 1 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Group 1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Group 1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Group 1 Automotive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Group 1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.69
σ
Overall volatility
17.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Group 1 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Group 1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Group 1 Automotive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Group 1 Automotive is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of September 2024 Group 1 paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
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Group 1 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Group Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Group 1's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Group 1's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments57.2 M

Group 1 Technical Analysis

Group 1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Group Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Group 1 Automotive. In general, you should focus on analyzing Group Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Group 1 Predictive Forecast Models

Group 1's time-series forecasting models is one of many Group 1's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Group 1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Group 1 Automotive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Group 1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Group 1 Automotive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Group 1 Automotive is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of September 2024 Group 1 paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
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When determining whether Group 1 Automotive offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Group 1's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Group 1 Automotive Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Group 1 Automotive Stock:
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Group 1. If investors know Group will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Group 1 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Dividend Share
0.47
Earnings Share
37.53
Revenue Per Share
1.4 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.11
The market value of Group 1 Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Group that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Group 1's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Group 1's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Group 1's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Group 1's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Group 1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Group 1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Group 1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.