Darden Restaurants Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 212.98

DRI Stock  USD 212.98  3.43  1.58%   
Darden Restaurants' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Darden Restaurants. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Darden Restaurants based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Darden Restaurants over a specific time period. For example, DRI260417C00210000 is a PUT option contract on Darden Restaurants' common stock with a strick price of 210.0 expiring on 2026-04-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 57 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $11.3, and an ask price of $12.6. The implied volatility as of the 20th of February is 57.0. View All Darden options

Closest to current price Darden long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Darden Restaurants' future price is the expected price of Darden Restaurants instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Darden Restaurants performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Darden Restaurants Analysis, Darden Restaurants Valuation, Darden Restaurants Correlation, Darden Restaurants Hype Analysis, Darden Restaurants Volatility, Darden Restaurants Price History as well as Darden Restaurants Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.As of now, Darden Restaurants' Price To Book Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Darden Restaurants' current Price Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.93, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 11.51. Please specify Darden Restaurants' target price for which you would like Darden Restaurants odds to be computed.

Darden Restaurants Target Price Odds to finish over 212.98

The tendency of Darden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 212.98 90 days 212.98 
about 9.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Darden Restaurants to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.63 (This Darden Restaurants probability density function shows the probability of Darden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Darden Restaurants has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Darden Restaurants market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Darden Restaurants is expected to follow. Additionally Darden Restaurants has an alpha of 0.2596, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Darden Restaurants Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Darden Restaurants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Darden Restaurants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
211.65213.43215.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
191.42231.05232.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
220.06221.84223.62
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
202.33222.34246.80
Details

Darden Restaurants Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Darden Restaurants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Darden Restaurants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Darden Restaurants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Darden Restaurants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
15.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Darden Restaurants Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Darden Restaurants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Darden Restaurants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Darden Restaurants has 6.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.89, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Darden to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 99.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 2nd of February 2026 Darden Restaurants paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Trading

Darden Restaurants Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Darden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Darden Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Darden Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments240 M

Darden Restaurants Technical Analysis

Darden Restaurants' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Darden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Darden Restaurants. In general, you should focus on analyzing Darden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Darden Restaurants Predictive Forecast Models

Darden Restaurants' time-series forecasting models is one of many Darden Restaurants' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Darden Restaurants' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Darden Restaurants

Checking the ongoing alerts about Darden Restaurants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Darden Restaurants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Darden Restaurants has 6.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.89, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Darden to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 99.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 2nd of February 2026 Darden Restaurants paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Insider Trading
When determining whether Darden Restaurants offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Darden Restaurants' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Darden Restaurants Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Darden Restaurants Stock:
Is there potential for Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure market expansion? Will Darden introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Darden Restaurants. Projected growth potential of Darden fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Darden Restaurants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
Dividend Share
5.8
Earnings Share
9.39
Revenue Per Share
107.814
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
Understanding Darden Restaurants requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Darden's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Darden Restaurants' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Darden Restaurants' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Darden Restaurants' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Darden Restaurants should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Darden Restaurants' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.