Dakota Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.33

DC Stock  USD 2.16  0.03  1.37%   
Dakota Gold's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dakota Gold Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dakota Gold based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dakota Gold Corp over a specific time period. For example, DC Option Call 20-12-2024 2 is a CALL option contract on Dakota Gold's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-12 at 11:19:22 for $0.13 and, as of today, has 33 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.1. The implied volatility as of the 17th of November 2024 is 33.0. View All Dakota options

Closest to current price Dakota long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Dakota Gold's future price is the expected price of Dakota Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dakota Gold Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dakota Gold Backtesting, Dakota Gold Valuation, Dakota Gold Correlation, Dakota Gold Hype Analysis, Dakota Gold Volatility, Dakota Gold History as well as Dakota Gold Performance.
  
As of November 17, 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -5.91. In addition to that, Price Book Value Ratio is expected to decline to 1.88. Please specify Dakota Gold's target price for which you would like Dakota Gold odds to be computed.

Dakota Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 2.33

The tendency of Dakota Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.33  after 90 days
 2.16 90 days 2.33 
about 63.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dakota Gold to stay under $ 2.33  after 90 days from now is about 63.96 (This Dakota Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of Dakota Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dakota Gold Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 2.16  and $ 2.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.32 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dakota Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Dakota Gold Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dakota Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dakota Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dakota Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dakota Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.165.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.936.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.995.44
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.015.506.11
Details

Dakota Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dakota Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dakota Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dakota Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dakota Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Dakota Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dakota Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dakota Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dakota Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dakota Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (36.45 M) with gross profit of 0.
Dakota Gold Corp reports about 35.04 M in cash with (31.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.49.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: DC BLOX to Develop Four Southeastern Hyperscale Edge Node Data Centers

Dakota Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dakota Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dakota Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dakota Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.5 M

Dakota Gold Technical Analysis

Dakota Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dakota Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dakota Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dakota Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dakota Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Dakota Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dakota Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dakota Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dakota Gold Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dakota Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dakota Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dakota Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Dakota Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (36.45 M) with gross profit of 0.
Dakota Gold Corp reports about 35.04 M in cash with (31.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.49.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: DC BLOX to Develop Four Southeastern Hyperscale Edge Node Data Centers
Check out Dakota Gold Backtesting, Dakota Gold Valuation, Dakota Gold Correlation, Dakota Gold Hype Analysis, Dakota Gold Volatility, Dakota Gold History as well as Dakota Gold Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dakota Gold. If investors know Dakota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dakota Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.41)
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.37)
The market value of Dakota Gold Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dakota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dakota Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dakota Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dakota Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dakota Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dakota Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dakota Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dakota Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.