Cannae Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.45

CNNE Stock  USD 18.69  0.45  2.47%   
Cannae Holdings' future price is the expected price of Cannae Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cannae Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cannae Holdings Backtesting, Cannae Holdings Valuation, Cannae Holdings Correlation, Cannae Holdings Hype Analysis, Cannae Holdings Volatility, Cannae Holdings History as well as Cannae Holdings Performance.
For information on how to trade Cannae Stock refer to our How to Trade Cannae Stock guide.
  
At present, Cannae Holdings' Price To Book Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Fair Value is expected to grow to 1.23, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (4.80). Please specify Cannae Holdings' target price for which you would like Cannae Holdings odds to be computed.

Cannae Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 19.45

The tendency of Cannae Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 19.45  after 90 days
 18.69 90 days 19.45 
about 72.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cannae Holdings to stay under $ 19.45  after 90 days from now is about 72.48 (This Cannae Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Cannae Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cannae Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 18.69  and $ 19.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cannae Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Cannae Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cannae Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cannae Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cannae Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cannae Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.8118.6920.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8222.0323.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.7418.6220.51
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.9831.8535.35
Details

Cannae Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cannae Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cannae Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cannae Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cannae Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Cannae Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cannae Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cannae Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cannae Holdings currently holds 261.1 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Cannae Holdings has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cannae Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 570 M. Net Loss for the year was (313.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.2 M.
Cannae Holdings currently holds about 100.6 M in cash with (35.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.25.
Cannae Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of Cannae Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of September 2024 Cannae Holdings paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Cannae Holdings, Inc.s Shares

Cannae Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cannae Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cannae Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cannae Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments121.8 M

Cannae Holdings Technical Analysis

Cannae Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cannae Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cannae Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cannae Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cannae Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Cannae Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cannae Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cannae Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cannae Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cannae Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cannae Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cannae Holdings currently holds 261.1 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Cannae Holdings has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cannae Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 570 M. Net Loss for the year was (313.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.2 M.
Cannae Holdings currently holds about 100.6 M in cash with (35.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.25.
Cannae Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of Cannae Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of September 2024 Cannae Holdings paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Cannae Holdings, Inc.s Shares
When determining whether Cannae Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cannae Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cannae Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cannae Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cannae Holdings Backtesting, Cannae Holdings Valuation, Cannae Holdings Correlation, Cannae Holdings Hype Analysis, Cannae Holdings Volatility, Cannae Holdings History as well as Cannae Holdings Performance.
For information on how to trade Cannae Stock refer to our How to Trade Cannae Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Multi-Sector Holdings space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cannae Holdings. If investors know Cannae will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cannae Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
Dividend Share
0.12
Earnings Share
(6.74)
Revenue Per Share
7.145
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.23)
The market value of Cannae Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cannae that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cannae Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cannae Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cannae Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cannae Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cannae Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cannae Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cannae Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.