Chagee Holdings Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.09
| CHA Stock | USD 12.09 0.26 2.11% |
Chagee Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 12.09
The tendency of Chagee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.09 | 90 days | 12.09 | about 89.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chagee Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.93 (This Chagee Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Chagee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.55 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Chagee Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Chagee Holdings Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chagee Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chagee Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chagee Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chagee Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chagee Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chagee Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chagee Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chagee Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Chagee Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chagee Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chagee Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chagee Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chagee Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Chagee Holdings Limited has 548.06 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.25, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Chagee Holdings has a current ratio of 0.3, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Chagee to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 15.0% of Chagee Holdings shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of December 2025 Chagee Holdings paid $ 0.92 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Chagee Holdings Ltd Stock Price Up 4.29 percent on Jan 15 - GuruFocus |
Chagee Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chagee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chagee Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chagee Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 B |
Chagee Holdings Technical Analysis
Chagee Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chagee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chagee Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chagee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chagee Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Chagee Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Chagee Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chagee Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chagee Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chagee Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chagee Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chagee Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chagee Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Chagee Holdings Limited has 548.06 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.25, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Chagee Holdings has a current ratio of 0.3, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Chagee to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 15.0% of Chagee Holdings shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of December 2025 Chagee Holdings paid $ 0.92 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Chagee Holdings Ltd Stock Price Up 4.29 percent on Jan 15 - GuruFocus |
Check out Chagee Holdings Backtesting, Chagee Holdings Valuation, Chagee Holdings Correlation, Chagee Holdings Hype Analysis, Chagee Holdings Volatility, Chagee Holdings History as well as Chagee Holdings Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Restaurants space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chagee Holdings. If investors know Chagee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chagee Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.102 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Chagee Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chagee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chagee Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chagee Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chagee Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chagee Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chagee Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chagee Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chagee Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.