Camuzzi Gas (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3590.0
| CGPA2 Stock | ARS 3,780 265.00 7.54% |
Camuzzi |
Camuzzi Gas Target Price Odds to finish below 3590.0
The tendency of Camuzzi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3,590 or more in 90 days |
| 3,780 | 90 days | 3,590 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Camuzzi Gas to drop to 3,590 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Camuzzi Gas Pampeana probability density function shows the probability of Camuzzi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana price to stay between 3,590 and its current price of 3780.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Camuzzi Gas Pampeana has a beta of -0.0028 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Camuzzi Gas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Camuzzi Gas Pampeana is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Camuzzi Gas Pampeana has an alpha of 0.9319, implying that it can generate a 0.93 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Camuzzi Gas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Camuzzi Gas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camuzzi Gas Pampeana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Camuzzi Gas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Camuzzi Gas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Camuzzi Gas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Camuzzi Gas Pampeana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Camuzzi Gas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0028 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 731.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Camuzzi Gas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Camuzzi Gas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Camuzzi Gas Pampeana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Camuzzi Gas Pampeana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Camuzzi Gas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Camuzzi Gas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Camuzzi Gas Pampeana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Camuzzi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Camuzzi Gas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Camuzzi Gas Pampeana reported the revenue of 29.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (284.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.18 B. | |
| Camuzzi Gas Pampeana has accumulated about 211.15 M in cash with (973.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Camuzzi Gas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Camuzzi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Camuzzi Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camuzzi Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 333.3 M |
Camuzzi Gas Technical Analysis
Camuzzi Gas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Camuzzi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Camuzzi Gas Pampeana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Camuzzi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Camuzzi Gas Predictive Forecast Models
Camuzzi Gas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Camuzzi Gas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Camuzzi Gas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Camuzzi Gas Pampeana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Camuzzi Gas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Camuzzi Gas Pampeana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Camuzzi Gas Pampeana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Camuzzi Gas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Camuzzi Gas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Camuzzi Gas Pampeana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Camuzzi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Camuzzi Gas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Camuzzi Gas Pampeana reported the revenue of 29.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (284.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.18 B. | |
| Camuzzi Gas Pampeana has accumulated about 211.15 M in cash with (973.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Camuzzi Stock
Camuzzi Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Camuzzi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Camuzzi with respect to the benefits of owning Camuzzi Gas security.