Centerra Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.25
| CGAU Stock | USD 5.78 0.07 1.20% |
Closest to current price Centerra long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Centerra |
Centerra Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 7.25
The tendency of Centerra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 7.25 after 90 days |
| 5.78 | 90 days | 7.25 | about 77.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centerra Gold to stay under $ 7.25 after 90 days from now is about 77.86 (This Centerra Gold probability density function shows the probability of Centerra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Centerra Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 5.78 and $ 7.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Centerra Gold has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Centerra Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Centerra Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Centerra Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Centerra Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Centerra Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centerra Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Centerra Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centerra Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centerra Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centerra Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centerra Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Centerra Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centerra Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centerra Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Centerra Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (82.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 242.57 M. | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Centerra Gold Announces Quarterly Dividend of C0.07 per Common Share |
Centerra Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centerra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centerra Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centerra Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 218.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 615.8 M |
Centerra Gold Technical Analysis
Centerra Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centerra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centerra Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centerra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Centerra Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Centerra Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Centerra Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centerra Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Centerra Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Centerra Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centerra Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Centerra Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (82.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 242.57 M. | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Centerra Gold Announces Quarterly Dividend of C0.07 per Common Share |
Additional Tools for Centerra Stock Analysis
When running Centerra Gold's price analysis, check to measure Centerra Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centerra Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Centerra Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centerra Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centerra Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centerra Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.