Bel Fuse A Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 103.63
| BELFA Stock | USD 104.87 0.03 0.03% |
Bel |
Bel Fuse Target Price Odds to finish below 103.63
The tendency of Bel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 103.63 or more in 90 days |
| 104.87 | 90 days | 103.63 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bel Fuse to drop to $ 103.63 or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Bel Fuse A probability density function shows the probability of Bel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bel Fuse A price to stay between $ 103.63 and its current price of $104.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.93 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bel Fuse will likely underperform. Additionally Bel Fuse A has an alpha of 0.2434, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bel Fuse Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bel Fuse
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bel Fuse A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bel Fuse's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bel Fuse Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bel Fuse is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bel Fuse's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bel Fuse A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bel Fuse within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Bel Fuse Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bel Fuse for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bel Fuse A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Bel Fuse Inc. Sees Significant Decline in Short Interest |
Bel Fuse Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bel Fuse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bel Fuse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.9 M |
Bel Fuse Technical Analysis
Bel Fuse's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bel Fuse A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bel Fuse Predictive Forecast Models
Bel Fuse's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bel Fuse's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bel Fuse's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bel Fuse A
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bel Fuse for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bel Fuse A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Bel Fuse Inc. Sees Significant Decline in Short Interest |
Check out Bel Fuse Backtesting, Bel Fuse Valuation, Bel Fuse Correlation, Bel Fuse Hype Analysis, Bel Fuse Volatility, Bel Fuse History as well as Bel Fuse Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bel Fuse. If investors know Bel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bel Fuse listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 4.94 | Revenue Per Share 43.996 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of Bel Fuse A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bel Fuse's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bel Fuse's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bel Fuse's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bel Fuse's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bel Fuse's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bel Fuse is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bel Fuse's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.