Bigbearai Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.66
| BBAI Stock | USD 1.76 0.02 1.15% |
BigBearai |
BigBearai Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 1.66
The tendency of BigBearai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.66 or more in 90 days |
| 1.76 | 90 days | 1.66 | about 75.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BigBearai Holdings to drop to $ 1.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.3 (This BigBearai Holdings probability density function shows the probability of BigBearai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BigBearai Holdings price to stay between $ 1.66 and its current price of $1.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.56 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BigBearai Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally BigBearai Holdings has an alpha of 0.4708, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BigBearai Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BigBearai Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BigBearai Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BigBearai Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BigBearai Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BigBearai Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BigBearai Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BigBearai Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
BigBearai Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BigBearai Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BigBearai Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BigBearai Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BigBearai Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| BigBearai Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BigBearai Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 155.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.99 M. | |
| BigBearai Holdings currently holds about 29.83 M in cash with (18.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| BigBearai Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Gets Buy Rating, Analyst Highlights 165M US Army Contract and Resilient Business Model |
BigBearai Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BigBearai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BigBearai Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BigBearai Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.6 M |
BigBearai Holdings Technical Analysis
BigBearai Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BigBearai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BigBearai Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing BigBearai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BigBearai Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
BigBearai Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many BigBearai Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BigBearai Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BigBearai Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about BigBearai Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BigBearai Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BigBearai Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BigBearai Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| BigBearai Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BigBearai Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 155.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.99 M. | |
| BigBearai Holdings currently holds about 29.83 M in cash with (18.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| BigBearai Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Gets Buy Rating, Analyst Highlights 165M US Army Contract and Resilient Business Model |
Check out BigBearai Holdings Backtesting, BigBearai Holdings Valuation, BigBearai Holdings Correlation, BigBearai Holdings Hype Analysis, BigBearai Holdings Volatility, BigBearai Holdings History as well as BigBearai Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in BigBearai Stock please use our How to Invest in BigBearai Holdings guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BigBearai Holdings. If investors know BigBearai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BigBearai Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.78) | Revenue Per Share 0.737 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.221 | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (7.38) |
The market value of BigBearai Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BigBearai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BigBearai Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BigBearai Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BigBearai Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BigBearai Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BigBearai Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BigBearai Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BigBearai Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.