Ally Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.25
| ALLY Stock | USD 35.22 0.97 2.83% |
Ally |
Ally Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 26.25
The tendency of Ally Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 26.25 or more in 90 days |
| 35.22 | 90 days | 26.25 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ally Financial to drop to $ 26.25 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ally Financial probability density function shows the probability of Ally Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ally Financial price to stay between $ 26.25 and its current price of $35.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.96 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.72 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ally Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Ally Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ally Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ally Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ally Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ally Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ally Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ally Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ally Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ally Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Ally Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ally Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ally Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ally Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ally Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Ally Financial currently holds 20.23 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 275.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ally Financial has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ally Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Ally Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of Ally Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from americanbanker.com: Allys Diane Morais looks back on her 37-year career in banking The Climb |
Ally Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ally Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ally Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ally Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 305.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.4 B |
Ally Financial Technical Analysis
Ally Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ally Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ally Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ally Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ally Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Ally Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ally Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ally Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ally Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ally Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ally Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ally Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ally Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Ally Financial currently holds 20.23 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 275.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ally Financial has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ally Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Ally Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of Ally Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from americanbanker.com: Allys Diane Morais looks back on her 37-year career in banking The Climb |
Additional Tools for Ally Stock Analysis
When running Ally Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ally Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ally Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ally Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ally Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ally Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ally Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.